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Predicting disaster for Kell Brook could net you a fortune from Betway

The real value is likely to be found in picking a round

Matt Christie

26th March, 2015

Predicting disaster for Kell Brook could net you a fortune from Betway

KELL BROOK returns to action this weekend for the first time since winning the IBF welterweight title from Shawn Porter in August last year. The euphoria of his world championship victory didn’t last for long. Within weeks a machete attack in Tenerife left his career in tatters, and his future uncertain. But he’s back and can expect a hero’s welcome in Sheffield when he makes his maiden defence against rugged Romanian, Jo Jo Dan.

BETWAY are not anticipating a hard night for Brook, making him a huge 1-14 favourite. One can see why Dan is such a hefty underdog. Although he’s been beaten only twice (tough but limited Selcuk Aydin inflicting both) he appears to have the style that Brook will relish.

Dan is no mug, of course, and can – when the opposition allows – box nicely from range but his punches lack zip (only 50 per cent of his fights have ended inside schedule) and are unlikely to faze the sharp-shooting Brook. The Englishman is a smooth pressure fighter capable of dictating the distance and pace in a long fight, or rapidly moving through the gears if he gets a sniff of an early night.

What we must not forget, though, is that horrendous ordeal that Brook suffered and the subsequent layoff he encountered. If the Sheffield star is not mentally focused as a result, Dan might have a chance of making any punter that backs him via BETWAY at 7-1 considerably richer. Significant underdog Carson Jones almost took advantage of a badly prepared Brook in 2012 but even then, the unbeaten British boxer proved his toughness and won a decision.

The draw is always tempting – this time priced by BETWAY at 25-1 – but it’s very hard to pick anything other than a home win for the fighter.

The best value – unless you sense a monster upset – will be in picking a round that the champion will triumph. Anywhere between five and nine look the most tempting.

Fight Winner1X2
28 March 2015
22:00 (GMT)Kell Brook – Ionut Dan Ion1/1425/17/1
Total RoundsOverUnder
Kell Brook – Ionut Dan Ion10/11 (+9.5)4/5 (-9.5)
Round Betting
Kell Brook Round 125/1
Kell Brook Round 220/1
Kell Brook Round 316/1
Kell Brook Round 412/1
Kell Brook Round 510/1
Kell Brook Round 610/1
Kell Brook Round 710/1
Kell Brook Round 810/1
Kell Brook Round 910/1
Kell Brook Round 1012/1
Kell Brook Round 1116/1
Kell Brook Round 1218/1
Kell Brook to win on points6/4
Draw25/1
Ionut Dan to win on points20/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 1125/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 2100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 3100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 4100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 5100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 6100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 7100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 8100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 9100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 10100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 11100/1
Ionut Dan Ion Round 12100/1
Method Of Victory
Kell Brook KO, TKO or Disqualification8/13
Kell Brook Decision or Technical Decision6/4
Ionut Dan Ion KO, TKO or Disqualification14/1
Ionut Dan Ion, Decision or Technical Decision20/1
Draw or Technical Draw25/1
Will The Fight Go The Distance
Kell Brook – Ionut Dan IonYes – 11/8
No – 8/15
Round Group Betting
Kell Brook in Rounds 1 to 37/1
Kell Brook in Rounds 4 to 64/1
Kell Brook in Rounds 7 to 97/2
Kell Brook in Rounds 10 to 1211/2
Kell Brook in Points Decision8/13
Draw25/1
Ionut Dan Ion in Rounds 1 to 350/1
Ionut Dan Ion Rounds 4 to 640/1
Ionut Dan Ion Rounds 7 to 940/1
Ionut Dan Ion Rounds 10 to 1250/1
Ionut Dan Ion Points Decision25/1

On the undercard the home fighters are all favourites (see below) with Sergey Khomitsky the most tempting underdog to back due to his history of upsetting the odds; both Frank Buglioni and Jamie Moore were unexpectedly vanquished in Britain.

Fight Winner1X2
27 March 2015
19:00 (GMT)Matty Askin – Ovill McKenzie6/525/14/6
28 March 2015
19:00 (GMT)Charlie Edwards – Mikheil Soloninkini1/10025/125/1
19:00 (GMT)Frankie Gavin – Bogdan Mitic1/10033/120/1
20:00 (GMT)Adam Etches – Sergey Khomitsky1/322/19/4
20:00 (GMT)Gavin McDonnell – Oleksandr Yegorov1/1025/111/2
22:00 (GMT)Kell Brook – Ionut Dan Ion1/1425/17/1
29 March 2015
00:30 (GMT)Jhonny Gonzalez – Gary Russell Jnr5/422/18/13
02:00 (GMT)Nonito Donaire – William Prado1/10028/118/1
04:00 (GMT)Donnie Nietes – Gilberto Parra1/10033/118/1

ALL ODDS FROM BETWAY. CLICK HERE FOR MORE

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