Manny Pacquiao vs Keith Thurman – expert predictions

Manny Pacquiao

Thomas Hearns, former five-division champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Mannyย Pacquiaoย has the better skills and the experience overall in comparison to Keith Thurman, and I see Manny winning a decision by just out-boxing him.

Deontay Wilder, WBC Heavyweight Champion
Pick: Thurman SD 12. I like both fighters and what they’ve been able to achieve. Manny Pacquiao’s a legend who still is among the world’s best fighters despite his age and having to overcome so many ups and downs. But I’m going with Keith Thurman on a split-decision in this one based on his youth and mentality. People are talking about Keith’s last fight against Josesito Lopez, but he feels like he’s the best, and that he’s not going to let anyone take that away from him.

Roy Jones Jr.,ย Former Three-Division World Champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W12: I’m going to go withย Pacquiaoย because he’s the older and therefore more experienced fighter.

Errol Spence Jr., IBF Welterweight Champion
Pick: Thurman SD 12. It just depends on whichย Pacquiaoย shows up and which Keith shows up. I think Keith will be a lot sharper than he was in his last fight. You know he had a long layoff and is just coming back. Keith is a lot tougher than people think he is. He took a lot of punches in that last fight. He took a lot of punches in the Shawn Porter fight, too. He might be a boxer, but he’s tough and he’s gritty, so I think he’s going to win a split-decision or he’s going to blow him out. It just depends on whichย Pacquiaoย comes out. If he can turn the tables a little bit and become theย Pacquiaoย of back then, I think he can win. But if it’s theย Pacquiaoย that fought Broner, then I think Keith will edge him out and outpoint him. Keith can get on his bicycle and move around and just pot shot him. I think Keith will edge it out.

Sugar Ray Leonard, former five-division world championย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. Keith Thurman has a ton of talent, power and speed. I like him to win.

Gerry Cooney, former heavyweight title contender
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Mannyย Pacquiao’s been a phenom, but age has been creeping up on him. Thurman’s gonna try to box and use his power, and Manny’s been knocked out before. It’s a 50-50 fight, but I’m going withย Pacquiao, who is really awkward and fast, to win a decision.

Shane Mosley,ย former three-division world championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I think thatย Pacquiaoย is going to win because of the experience, the speed and his power.

Shawn Porter, WBC Welterweight Championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I’m going with Mannyย Pacquiao, who still has the hunger, several levels of competitive spirit and quickness out of that southpaw stance that’s hard to game plan for. Keith Thurman’s young but coming off of a very long layoff and a level of relaxation and comfort that makes it difficult for me to see him being ready for this fight. I don’t think Keith’s body will be able to withstand what’s going to come during those championship rounds.ย Pacquiaoย weathers the early storm and wins a decision.

Andy Ruiz Jr.,ย Unified Heavyweight World Championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I’m going withย Pacquiaoย because of his speed and aggressiveness.

Mikey Garcia, four-division world champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Ultimately Manny’s footwork, hand-speed, combinations and volume punching will carry him throughout the rounds. Keith Thurman has the power to win it, and he’s very dangerous for that power, but he’s not a better fighter, overall, than Manny. I think Manny takes it.

Julian Williams, WBA & IBF 154-pound World Championย 
Pick: Thurman SD 12. Manny’s always super-competitive and I believe we’ll see a hungrier and more determined Mannyย Pacquiaoย than the one who beat Adrien Broner. Manny may even be able to hurt Keith Thurman as he does everybody, but I believe Keith Thurman will have too much youth for him. Keith may not look great, but I’m going with Keith to win a close decision.

Derrick James,ย trainer of welterweight champion Errol Spence Jr. and former champion Jermell Charloย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. I think Keith Thurman’s gonna beat Mannyย Pacquiaoย by a decision as long as he can do what he did for the first seven rounds against Josesito Lopez for 12 rounds againstย Pacquiao. Keith’s consistency will win the fight.

Leo Santa Cruz,ย WBA Featherweight World Championย 
Pick: Thurman W 12: I feel that Keith Thurman is going to win because he’s younger.

Roberto Duran,ย former four-division world championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12: Mannyย Pacquiaoย is very tough and for me, he is going to win this fight.

Robert Garcia, trainer of former four-division champion Mikey Garcia, contender Josesito Lopezย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. Keith Thurman is strong, solid and smart in the ring, and he has youth on his side, so I see him winning a unanimous decision. I would no doubt pick Mannyย Pacquiaoย if this was four or five years ago the way he was dominating, but with him being at the age of 40, that’s hard for me to do.

Paulie Malignaggi, former two-division championย 
Pick: Thurman TKO 11. I sawย Pacquiaoย in January beating Adrien Broner who was willing to enter the pocket but not let his hands go.ย Pacquiaoย is not a defensive genius, and I’m not saying that he’s super hittable. But I do see Keith catching up to him and winning by a late-round TKO.

Tony Harrison, WBC Super Welterweight Championย 
Pick: Draw. I have so much love and respect for Mannyย Pacquiaoย and Keith Thurman and I’ve seen fire in each of their eyes. I am envisioning an action-packed, seesaw battle that enhances the legacies of both fighters with the fans getting their money’s worth. Manny’s been re-awakened into the beast he’s been in the past, and when the final bell rings, I believe this fight will end in a draw.

Jarrett Hurd, former unified 154-pound champion
Pick: Thurman W 12. I believe the youth of Keith Thurman will play a big factor. Yes, Thurman had a long layoff but I think he broke the ring rust after the Josesito Lopez fight.

Josesito Lopez, Former title challengerย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย SD 12. In our fight, Keith Thurman took a really hard punch from me that would have taken out almost anyone. That proves a lot about his championship ability to come back to win a fight. Thurman has great power and boxing skills and movement, but I still seeย Pacquiaoย pulling out a close decision victory.

Gary Russell Jr.,ย WBC Featherweight Championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Keith Thurman is probably the bigger, stronger fighter, which will give him the puncher’s chance, but I think Mannyย Pacquiao’s work ethic and his punch output will dictate the fight. I really like Keith Thurman, but I don’t know which Keith will show up. He has the ability to getย Pacquiaoย outta there, but I seeย Pacquiaoย being more consistent. So, I think Manny’s gonna outwork him and take it.

Ronnie Shields, trainer of 160-pound champion Jermall Charlo, former 154-pound champion Erislandy Laraย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. Keith is fast on his feet and has enough boxing ability to keep Manny at bay. I don’t believe a KO will occur. I really believe they both will try for one, but in order for Manny to win, he has to hurt Keith early and often. I don’t see it any other way.

Jessie Vargas, former two-division championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I’m going with Mannyย Pacquiaoย because of his experience and explosiveness and the fact that I believe that’s something Keith Thurman’s never seen before. A knockout forย Pacquiaoย is 85% possible. Each is a great fighter who doesn’t back down.

Stephen Edwards, trainer of unified 154-pound champion Julian Williams
Pick: Draw. I can’t call this fight. I was picking Keith Thurman due to youth and not being the better fighter. I thought he would control Mannyย Pacquiaoย with a check hook. But Thurman has not looked right to me in the training footage. Maybe that’s a ploy. Who knows? One fighter is 40 and the other looks rusty. I expect a close and controversial draw.

Sergio Mora, former 154-pound championย 
Pick: Thurman KO 9. Mannyย Pacquiao’s speed and footwork has diminished with age but he is still dangerous. Both will be aiming for the body and both will have their moments. Ultimately, I see Pac getting over aggressive and caught attempting to be great once again. Size and youth prevails in an exciting and competitive fight.

Andre Berto, former two-time 147-pound championย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. I’m picking Keith Thurman to win a decision because he is younger, faster and stronger than Mannyย Pacquiao.

Omar Figueroa, former world champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย by KO 8. Keith Thurman is a really smart fighter, but he leaves himself open with some of his punches. I think Mannyย Pacquiaoย catches him with those short lefts and right hooks inside and possibly stops the fight in eight.

Robert Guerrero, former two-division champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย by late round KO. Manny’s experience, combined with this speed and power, hitting off angles, is going to be too much for Keith Thurman.

Jay Deas, trainer of WBC Heavyweight Champion Deontay Wilder
Pick: Thurman W 12. Can Mannyย Pacquiaoย spell bound Keith Thurman, building a lead and holding off a late-round Thurman rally to take a decision? I don’t think so with only one knockout since 2010. Thurman’s left hand will be a key if he can jab the southpaw Pacquiaoย effectively. If Thurman is intelligently aggressive, uses his left and starts and finishes the exchanges, I believe he will win a decision in an exciting fight.

Joel Diaz, renowned trainer
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Keith Thurman didn’t look good against Josesito Lopez, who is a warrior but not on the level of a Mannyย Pacquiao.ย Pacquiao’s a lefty with great speed and footwork to create problems for Thurman. Thurman’s bigger, younger and stronger, butย Pacquiaoย has the power to hurt Thurman with either hand. I seeย Pacquiaoย increasing the pace over the later rounds and winning a decision.

Abner Mares, former three-division champion
Pick: Thurman W 12. Everyone is going off Mannyย Pacquiao’s last performance, where he looked phenomenal against an Adrien Broner who didn’t throw a lot of punches and was on the ropes a lot.ย Pacquiao’s not fighting Broner but a Thurman who knows how to work every round. He got hurt against Josesito Lopez, but that was after a long layoff.

Erislandy Lara, former 154-pound championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. This is a true 50-50 fight and a great one for the boxing fans. Going off their last few performances, I’m leaning towards Manny “Pac-Man”ย Pacquiaoย to win a decision. But I wouldn’t be shocked to see Keith Thurman return to form.

Sergey Lipinets, former 140-pound championย 
Pick: Draw. The fight looks like a 50-50 proposition. Mannyย Pacquiaoย is a way more diverse fighter then Keith Thurman. The big question would still be ifย Pacquiaoย has got any of that left or enough to maintain that through 12 rounds. I think we’ll see them fight to a draw.

Gary Russell Sr., father and trainer of 126-pound champion Gary Russell Jr.ย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. Mannyย Pacquiaoย has a herky-jerky style that can cause problems for Keith Thurman, who I don’t think can out-boxย Pacquiao. Keith’s gonna have to be the more physical fighter, coming out as the stalker and going to the body. I think that ultimately that’s what he’s gonna do to win a decision.

David Benavidez, former 168-pound championย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย by KO 9. I feel like Manny is going to have a hard time with Keith Thurman running around in the first few rounds. Then I expect “PacMan” to start hurting Thurman by Round five or six and then I see him stopping “One Time” around the ninth. It’s gonna be a great fight though.

Marcus Browne, interim WBA 175-pound championย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. This is a great fight that’s tough to call, so to pick a draw wouldn’t be far-fetched. I’m a big Mannyย Pacquiaoย fan and he looked great in his last fight beating Adrien Broner. But Keith ain’t Adrien Broner, and I think he’ll overcome the ring absence since he appears to be in a zone. I’m going to choose Keith to win a close decision.

Ruben Guerrero, father and trainer of former two-division champion Robert Guerrero
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย SD 12. It’s going to be one hell of a fight, but Mannyย Pacquiaoย will win the later rounds to win a close one.

Luis Ortiz, heavyweight title contenderย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย SD 12. Mannyย Pacquiaoย will win via decision. He has too much experience and has been active. Keith Thurman has been too inactive. I think it will probably be a split decision forย Pacquiao.

Erickson Lubin,ย 154-pound title contenderย 
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย SD 12. Mannyย Pacquiao’s southpaw style will confuse Keith Thurman. “Pacman” wins by split-decision with his power, speed and combination punching.

Austin Trout, former 154-pound champion
Pick: Thurman SD 12. I’m going to rock with my man Keith Thurman. People who are judging off his last fight don’t understand how much inactivity can play a role. Now that the rust is off, I expect Keith to pull it off. Keith is going to go above and beyond in what will be a 12-round fight that he’s gonna win by a split-decision.

Kevin Cunningham, trainer of Erickson Lubin
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I’m gonna have to go with Mannyย Pacquiaoย on this one because he still has good speed, explosiveness, footwork and punches well in combinations. Keith Thurman may be looking to land something big, and he may be able to hurt Manny in some way, but I’m picking Manny by decision.

Jamal James, 147-pound contender
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. Keith Thurman comes in with great skills, but I don’t see him beating Mannyย Pacquiao, who is a really crafty southpaw, is still quick on his feet, and throws fast, sharp combinations. I don’t think Keith can matchย Pacquiao’s hand-speed and footwork. I can’t rule out a knockout, but I thinkย Pacquiaoย wins a decision.

Caleb Truax, former 168-pound champion
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I think the smart pick is Keith Thurman, but I can’t bet against Mannyย Pacquiao. I have “PacMan” by close decision in a back and forth fight.

Calvin Ford, trainer of WBA 130-pound champion Gervonta Davis
Pick: Thurman W 12. Keith Thurman’s motivated to get his name back into the spotlight, but Mannyย Pacquiaoย looks as if he’s up to the challenge after beating Adrien Broner.Pacquiaoย throws a lot of punches, but I’m going with the younger guy on this one and Thurman winning a great fight by decision.

Andre Rozier, trainer of former 160-pound champion Daniel Jacobsย 
Pick: Thurman W 12. I have a tale of two fights for you. If we see the “One Time” Thurman of old, it will be a long night for the “PacMan.” If we see the tentative, super cautious Thurman that we have been seeing lately, the “PacMan” will have a chance.

Stephen Fulton, Unbeaten 122-pound contender
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I see Mannyย Pacquiaoย winning a unanimous decision based on his activity and that fact that Keith Thurman has been inactive for a while.ย Pacquiaoย lets his hands go more than Thurman, and I believe that, as well asย Pacquiao’s heart and being smarter in the ring, wins the fight.

Mario Barrios, undefeated 140-pound contender
Pick:ย Pacquiaoย W 12. I believe Manny’s going to be too crafty for Keith Thurman and Thurman won’t be able to land those big shots on him.

Total:
Pacquiaoย – 24
Thurman – 19
Draw – 3

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